RKVV DEM vs HBC Heemstede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
18º
17º
10
7º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
81% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKVV DEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ROH
2 - 0
DEM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 2
HUI
52%
22%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USV
5 - 2
DEM
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 2
IJS
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EEM
2 - 2
DEM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HBC Heemstede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
HSC
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
6 - 1
SVH
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 3
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
SVH
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
0 - 3
SPO
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |