Degerfors U21 vs Gefle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
2º
2º
1
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 10 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
4 | 10 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 10 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
1 | 2 |
4º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DJU
3 - 1
DEG
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 2
DEG
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 2
DEG
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
DEG
2 - 3
ESK
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
DEG
3 - 1
ORE
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 0
GEF
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 2
DEG
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 0
DJU
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
GEF
3 - 0
IKB
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 5
GEF
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |