Degerfors U21 vs Djurgårdens IF U21 analysis


37	ELO	39
12.5%	Tilt	9.5%
9044º	General ELO ranking	8036º
140º	Country ELO ranking	123º
ELO win probability

45.5%

Degerfors U21

20.4%

Draw

34.1%

Djurgårdens IF U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%

20.4%

Draw

0-0

1.8%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

7.2%

3-3

3.2%

4-4

0.8%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

20.4%

34.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

4

2º

4

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	4	10	1º	34.5%
1º	4	10	2º	23.5%
3º	4	10	3º	30.5%
4º	1	2	4º	95%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	38.5%	34.5%
Mid-table	61.5%	65.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Degerfors U21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 Jul. 2023	DEG 3 - 0 GEF 74% 14% 12%	37	28	9	0
22 Jun. 2023	DJU 3 - 1 DEG 44% 21% 35%	39	38	1	-2
25 Apr. 2023	GEF 0 - 2 DEG 26% 21% 53%	38	31	7	+1
11 Apr. 2023	IFK 2 - 2 DEG 35% 21% 44%	37	33	4	+1
19 Sep. 2022	DEG 2 - 3 ESK 77% 13% 10%	38	27	11	-1

Matches

Djurgårdens IF U21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jun. 2023	DJU 3 - 1 DEG 44% 21% 35%	38	39	1	0
09 May. 2023	IFK 1 - 0 DJU 31% 21% 48%	39	33	6	-1
17 Apr. 2023	DJU 4 - 1 IFK 58% 19% 22%	38	34	4	+1
24 Mar. 2023	GEF 0 - 0 DJU 26% 20% 54%	38	31	7	0
28 Sep. 2022	VAB 7 - 0 DJU 43% 21% 36%	40	38	2	-2