Degerfors U21 vs Djurgårdens IF U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
2º
2º
4
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
4 | 10 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
4 | 10 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 10 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 2 |
4º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
38.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
DEG
3 - 0
GEF
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DJU
3 - 1
DEG
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 2
DEG
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 2
DEG
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
DEG
2 - 3
ESK
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DJU
3 - 1
DEG
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 0
DJU
33%
21%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
DJU
4 - 1
IFK
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GEF
0 - 0
DJU
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VAB
7 - 0
DJU
44%
21%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |