Defensores de Cambaceres vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
SMA
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAM
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
BER
4 - 0
CAM
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 1
SBA
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 1
LUJ
63%
24%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
LUJ
65%
24%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
LUJ
3 - 1
ARM
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
LUJ
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |