Def. Unidos vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LAF
1 - 1
CAD
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
CAD
2 - 1
DAL
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SBA
1 - 1
CAD
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAD
1 - 1
ALE
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
CAD
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 1
ARR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUJ
1 - 1
ARM
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 1
BER
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 1
ARM
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 1
VSC
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |