Defensor Sporting vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CSM
0 - 1
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
BVS
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
IND
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 0
DEF
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ETS
3 - 2
JUN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
3 - 5
ETS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ETS
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ETS
1 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
ETS
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |