Defensor Sporting vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
RIV
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 0
DEF
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 0
BVS
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CER
0 - 1
DEF
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
5 - 0
MIR
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 0
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
SAO
31%
28%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |