Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 2
DEF
19%
26%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 1
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 4
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JUN
0 - 2
RAC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 1
RAC
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 0
DAN
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |