Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEF
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
PAS
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 2
REN
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 1
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
JUN
0 - 2
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
3 - 2
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRO
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 2
TAC
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |