Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
1º
12
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 4
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 3
FEN
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |