Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
CEL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 1
ETS
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 3
MWA
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |