Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
9 - 0
HUA
63%
19%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
LFC
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 0
TAC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 2
RIV
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |