Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MWA
2 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
MWA
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
MWA
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
TAC
0 - 0
MWA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 5
MWA
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |