Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MWA
3 - 2
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FEN
2 - 2
MWA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 0
MWA
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
MWA
2 - 0
DAN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MWA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |