Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 2
RIV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MWA
2 - 4
LFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
MWA
2 - 0
TAC
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
MWA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |