Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
DEF
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 4
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JUN
1 - 6
DEF
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 2
LFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LFC
2 - 0
CSM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 3
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LFC
0 - 2
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |