Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
13º
3º
12
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
LUZ
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
REN
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 2
FEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 3
LFC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REN
1 - 3
FEN
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
FEN
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |