Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DEF
4 - 1
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 2
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FEN
4 - 4
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 2
FEN
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |