Defensor Sporting vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAU
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EME
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |