Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 2
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 3
CER
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 5
COL
39%
25%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
LFC
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
CER
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
TAC
0 - 1
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |