Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 1
BVS
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 2
CEN
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
JUV
0 - 3
DAN
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DAN
6 - 3
NAC
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PLA
5 - 2
DAN
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
CEN
2 - 1
DAN
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
DAN
2 - 2
CSY
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |