Defensor Sporting vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEF
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 0
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CER
3 - 1
CSC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
CSC
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
CSC
38%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |