Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 6-5
Defensor Sporting vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 4
DEF
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 1
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 0
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 0
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 4
DEF
56%
22%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JWI
0 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
8 - 0
RPO
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |