Defensor La Bocana vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
BOC
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 1
BOC
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
AYA
54%
23%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 3
SPC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |