Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
DYJ
2 - 1
DFR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
DYJ
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DYJ
2 - 0
JAN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAI
3 - 2
DYJ
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
DYJ
3 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CAU
3 - 1
ALM
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
DFR
2 - 0
CAU
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CAU
3 - 1
HUR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FER
1 - 0
CAU
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
CAU
2 - 2
ARG
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |