Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
DEF
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 3
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 2
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEF
21%
24%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
POI
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
ANN
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |