Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
POI
1 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
DEF
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 3
STA
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
POI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
CON
3 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |