Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 3
CAL
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
AUN
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 0
DEF
38%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
MIL
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 4
DEF
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
ECM
2 - 0
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
CON
0 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |