Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
ANN
2 - 1
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
STK
1 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
DEF
0 - 0
UPT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
CON
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
CHI
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
48%
23%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
HAR
35%
24%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
PRI
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |