Defence Force vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
POI
0 - 6
DEF
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
POL
3 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
CEN
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
POL
3 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
POL
2 - 4
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
POL
0 - 3
CEN
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
POL
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |