Defence Force vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEF
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 2
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
ANN
0 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
JOE
0 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
JOE
2 - 0
UPT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
JOE
3 - 1
STK
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
JOE
48%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |