Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
SMG
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
DEF
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
ESP
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
DEF
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 2
TAL
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
SUA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SUA
0 - 1
PLA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SUA
0 - 2
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
SMG
2 - 2
SUA
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |