Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 3
DEF
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 2
COM
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 1
AND
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
SAR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 2
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 3
DEF
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAR
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |