Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
46%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CCO
0 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
ALM
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
UAI
0 - 0
PLA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 0
EST
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
BRO
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |