Def. Belgrano vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
DEF
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
17%
27%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
DEF
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAR
13%
25%
62%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GBR
0 - 2
ARS
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
AGR
0 - 0
GBR
35%
29%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 1
GBR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GBR
2 - 2
DAL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GBR
0 - 0
PLA
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |