Def. Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
36%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
RSA
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
DEF
36%
31%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
HHE
3 - 1
FER
15%
24%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
FER
6 - 0
STM
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
DCA
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
FER
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
JUU
1 - 0
FER
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |