Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
DEF
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAL
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
STM
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 3
DAL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EST
4 - 0
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
STM
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
AND
0 - 2
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |