Def. Belgrano vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
DEF
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
DEP
43%
30%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEF
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
TEM
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
DEF
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 1
SMA
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 3
ALV
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
SAC
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |