Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 2
DEC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DEC
2 - 0
LOV
36%
32%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 0
SUT
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
4 - 1
DEC
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
GRB
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 2
PET
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SUT
2 - 0
PET
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |