Decic vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BUD
2 - 0
DEC
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
KOM
1 - 1
DEC
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DEC
0 - 1
MLA
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRB
3 - 1
DEC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
DEC
2 - 2
FKC
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
MOG
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FKA
0 - 4
MOG
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
FKC
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 3
MOG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
4 - 3
ZET
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |