Decic vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
RUD
0 - 0
DEC
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RUD
0 - 0
DEC
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IGA
0 - 4
DEC
17%
23%
61%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 0
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZET
0 - 1
DEC
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GRB
3 - 1
MLA
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRB
2 - 0
LOV
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 3
GRB
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RUD
1 - 1
GRB
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GRB
1 - 0
JED
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |