Decic vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SUT
3 - 0
DEC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEC
5 - 1
RUD
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
DEC
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 2
DEC
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEC
3 - 0
IKD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 4
BUD
20%
24%
55%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 3
FKA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 1
FKA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |