Decic vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
70
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
DEC
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
JEZ
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
DEC
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 4
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 0
IKD
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 2
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 0
JED
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |