De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
4º
4º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACY
2 - 1
GRA
45%
21%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
3 - 2
GRA
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 4
GRO
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 0
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
6 - 2
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
EMM
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
2 - 1
WIL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
6 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRO
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |