De Graafschap U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
GRA
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
PEC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 3
GRA
24%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 2
CAM
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FYN
5 - 1
GRA
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Twente / Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 1
THS
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THS
2 - 4
GRO
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PEC
1 - 1
THS
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
THS
3 - 1
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
THS
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |