Dayton Dutch Lions vs Toledo Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
MIC
1 - 0
DAY
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
DAY
0 - 3
KAL
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DAY
0 - 5
SBL
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
TVF
5 - 2
DAY
14%
18%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
DAY
1 - 2
KHA
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toledo Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
KHA
0 - 0
TVF
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
SBL
1 - 1
TVF
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TVF
5 - 5
OAK
21%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FWA
1 - 2
TVF
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
TVF
5 - 2
DAY
14%
18%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +4 |