Darwen FC vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1898 |
LIN
2 - 0
DAR
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1898 |
MUD
3 - 2
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1898 |
LUT
3 - 0
DAR
66%
19%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1898 |
ARS
3 - 1
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1898 |
BPO
1 - 0
DAR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1898 |
ARS
4 - 0
LEI
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1898 |
POR
3 - 0
ARS
23%
22%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1898 |
LUT
0 - 1
ARS
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1898 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
58%
20%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1898 |
ARS
3 - 0
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |