Conference South Round 46

Dartford vs Truro City analysis

Dartford Truro City
40 ELO 43
-4.9% Tilt 6.7%
5507º General ELO ranking 4418º
179º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Dartford
24.8%
Draw
45%
Truro City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Dartford
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45%
Win probability
Truro City
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dartford
+3%
+19%
Truro City

Points and table prediction

Dartford
Their league position
Truro City
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
22º
21º
55
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yeovil Town
95
95
100%
Chelmsford City
84
84
100%
Worthing
84
84
100%
Maidstone United
83
83
100%
Braintree Town
81
81
100%
Bath City
73
73
100%
Aveley
73
73
100%
Hampton & Richmond
72
72
100%
Farnborough
72
72
100%
Slough Town
10º
68
68
10º
0%
St. Albans City
11º
68
68
11º
0%
Torquay United
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Chippenham Town
13º
62
62
13º
100%
Weston-super-Mare
14º
59
59
14º
100%
Tonbridge Angels
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Weymouth
16º
56
56
16º
100%
Truro City
17º
55
55
17º
100%
Welling United
18º
54
54
18º
100%
Eastbourne Borough
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Dartford
21º
46
46
21º
0%
Taunton Town
22º
46
46
22º
0%
Havant & Waterlooville
23º
37
37
23º
100%
Dover Athletic
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dartford
Truro City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dartford
Truro City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
YEO
Yeovil Town
3 - 1
Dartford
DAR
71%
18%
11%
40 55 15 0
09 Apr. 2024
DAR
Dartford
1 - 2
Worthing
WOR
12%
18%
70%
40 54 14 0
06 Apr. 2024
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
1 - 2
Dartford
DAR
50%
23%
27%
39 40 1 +1
01 Apr. 2024
DAR
Dartford
0 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
45%
25%
30%
41 40 1 -2
29 Mar. 2024
CHM
Chelmsford City
4 - 1
Dartford
DAR
68%
19%
12%
41 56 15 0

Matches

Truro City
Truro City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2024
WHI
Truro City
0 - 0
Weymouth
WEY
35%
26%
39%
44 47 3 0
16 Apr. 2024
WHI
Truro City
1 - 0
Dover Athletic
DOV
70%
18%
13%
44 33 11 0
13 Apr. 2024
WHI
Truro City
3 - 1
Maidstone United
MAI
16%
22%
63%
42 54 12 +2
11 Apr. 2024
WHI
Truro City
0 - 2
Yeovil Town
YEO
19%
25%
55%
43 55 12 -1
08 Apr. 2024
WHI
Truro City
1 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
42%
25%
33%
44 44 0 -1