Conference South Round 4

Dartford vs Farnborough analysis

Dartford Farnborough
52 ELO 49
-1.4% Tilt 3.8%
5710º General ELO ranking 6052º
187º Country ELO ranking 200º
ELO win probability
52.9%
Dartford
24.5%
Draw
22.7%
Farnborough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
Dartford
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.7%
Win probability
Farnborough
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dartford
-24%
-4%
Farnborough

Points and table prediction

Dartford
Their league position
Farnborough
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
22º
21º
72
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yeovil Town
95
95
100%
Chelmsford City
84
84
100%
Worthing
84
84
100%
Maidstone United
83
83
100%
Braintree Town
81
81
100%
Bath City
73
73
100%
Aveley
73
73
100%
Hampton & Richmond
72
72
100%
Farnborough
72
72
100%
Slough Town
10º
68
68
10º
0%
St. Albans City
11º
68
68
11º
0%
Torquay United
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Chippenham Town
13º
62
62
13º
100%
Weston-super-Mare
14º
59
59
14º
100%
Tonbridge Angels
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Weymouth
16º
56
56
16º
100%
Truro City
17º
55
55
17º
100%
Welling United
18º
54
54
18º
100%
Eastbourne Borough
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Dartford
21º
46
46
21º
0%
Taunton Town
22º
46
46
22º
0%
Havant & Waterlooville
23º
37
37
23º
100%
Dover Athletic
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dartford
Farnborough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dartford
Farnborough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2023
DAR
Dartford
1 - 1
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
64%
21%
15%
52 46 6 0
12 Aug. 2023
WEY
Weymouth
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
23%
24%
53%
53 46 7 -1
05 Aug. 2023
DAR
Dartford
3 - 3
Bath City
BAT
56%
24%
20%
53 49 4 0
01 Aug. 2023
LEA
Leatherhead
3 - 1
Dartford
DAR
7%
15%
78%
53 30 23 0
29 Jul. 2023
BIL
Billericay Town
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
21%
21%
58%
53 43 10 0

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
48%
25%
27%
48 47 1 0
12 Aug. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 1
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
40%
25%
35%
48 49 1 0
05 Aug. 2023
CHM
Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Farnborough
FAR
49%
24%
26%
49 51 2 -1
28 Jul. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 2
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
31%
24%
45%
49 51 2 0
25 Jul. 2023
MET
Metropolitan Police
1 - 2
Farnborough
FAR
26%
24%
50%
48 42 6 +1