Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATE
3 - 1
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
SLO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 2
RAF
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
MWA
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 1
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
MWA
3 - 2
ZAM
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 0
MWA
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SUD
1 - 0
MWA
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |